Conflict & Violence

How Climate Change Inflames Extremist Insurgency in Africa 0723.rtf

Guam Typhoon Highlights Threat to US Military’s Pacific Strategy 0523.rtf

Spies Worry that a Sun-Blocking ‘Climate Solution’ Could Trigger War 0223.rtf

Water Shortages Threaten to Increase Violence and Disappearances in Mexico 0223.rtf

Climate Change is Fueling Conflict and Migration in Lake Chad 0123.rtf

Climate Change Puts More Women at Risk for Domestic Violence 0123.rtf

Almost 8,000 US Shootings per Year Associated with Hot Weather 1222.rtf

Climate Change Is Making People Angrier Online 0922.rtf

How Drought and War Are Really Affecting the Global Food Supply 0922.rtf

From Africa, Climate Change Amplifies Risk of Conflict 0722.rtf

Fiji Says Asia’s Biggest Security Threat Is Climate Change, Not Conflict 0622.rtf

Climate Action as Patriotism 0422.rtf - U.S.

Encroaching Desert Intensifies Nigeria’s Farmer-Herder Crisis 0422.rtf

Climate Clues from the Past Prompt a New Look at History 1221.rtf - more precise numbers than used in the charts under Conflict 2, below.  Basically the same story, but by history researchers - working with natural scientists on climate from centuries ago.

The U.S. Navy Has a Water Problem 0919.rtf - navy bases in Norfolk, etc., from sea level rise

Conflict and Climate Change Are Big Barriers for Africa’s Great Green Wall 1121.rtf

Senior Pentagon Official Warns that US Military Is Not Ready for Climate Change 1121.rtf - damage from storms etc., logistics, mission change toward humanitarian

Warmer World Is a More Violent One - Leaders to UN 0921.rtf

Military Operations Will be Strained by Climate Change 0621.rtf

The Climate Crisis Is Driving Violent Conflicts over Farmland, Nigeria's Example 0521.rtf

Facing Sweltering Soldiers and Flooded Ports, NATO to Focus on Climate Change 0321.rtf

Why the Pentagon Is Serious about Reducing Its Carbon Footprint 0321.rtf

Water Hot Spot Chad Has a Volatile Mix of Climate Change, Pandemic, Violence 0820.rtf

Climate Change Leads to More Violence against Women, Girls 0220.rtf  - excerpt: "the specter of climate upheaval … is acting as an accelerant of global conflict, plunging nationalist powers into a regressive rivalry to seize scarce resources and deny access to putative outsiders of all descriptions.” ….  "The ethno-nationalist backlash in most industrial Western powers has spurred the rise of an eco-fascist ideology."

Arizona Military Base Will Be Hardest Hit by Climate Change 1119.rtf

Climate Change Is Benefiting Terrorists In Somalia 1019.rtf

Climate Change Could Cause U.S. Military Collapse, New Report Warns 1019.rtf

Climate Change Is Poised to Alter the Face of Global Conflict 0919.rtf

How Terrorists Leverage Climate Change 0919.rtf - weaponized fire and water

Cameroon Conflict Turns Climate-Stressed Farmers into ‘Food Beggars' 0719.rtf

Will Climate Change Lead to More World Conflict? 0719.rtf

Climate Change Compounds Hunger, Conflicts, German Aid Group Says 0619.rtf

Climate Change Is Not Causing Wars – Yet 0619.rtf

Running Dry - Competing for Water on a Thirsty Planet 0619.rtf

Climate Change Forcing Military to Reconsider Its Priorities 0519.rtf

Climate Change Will Fuel More Wars and Displacement in the Middle East 0219.rtf - take 1 on Hague conference

Climate Change an 'Imminent' Security Threat, Risk Experts Say 0219.rtf - take 2 on Hague conference

Climate Change a Threat to World Order, Munich Security Conference Hears 0219.rtf

Pentagon Warns of Dire Risk to Bases, Troops From Climate Change 0119.rtf

Climate Change Is Aggravating the Suffering in Yemen 1118.rtf

Drought Puts Iraq at Risk of Jihadist Resurgence 0918.rtf

Climate Kings 0718.rtf - descent to strongmen, as influx of refugees intensifies

Putting the Climate-Conflict Hypothesis to the Test 0618.rtf - The failure of political systems is the primary cause of conflict and displacement of large numbers of people.  We also demonstrate that within socially and geopolitically fragile systems, climate change may potentially exacerbate the situation, particularly with regards to enforced migration.

The Military Paid for a Study on Sea Level Rise. The Results Were Scary. 0418.rtf - Half is about effect on US military bases, especially Pacific Islands, but also Atlantic Coast bases.

Climate Change Threatens National Security with Instability, Uncertainty, Chaos 0418.rtf

More Frequent Drought in Somalia Breeds Conflict over Fertile Land 0318.rtf

Does Climate Change Cause More War? 0218.rtf - "Are we looking at night only under the streetlight?” effect

Iran Protests Have a Long-Simmering Factor - Climate Change 0118.rtf

7 Surprising Effects That Climate Change Will Throw Us 1117.rtf - #4 is we will turn more violent.

Australia Faces Climate Disaster on Its Doorstep, White Paper Warns 1117.rtf

Climate Change and Water Woes Drove ISIS Recruiting in Iraq 1117.rtf

Climate Change – Catalyst for Conflict 1117.rtf - In Africa & Middle East, 10% of economic output, 20% in tropics, is lost to sinking agricultural and labor productivity.

When Egypt’s Pharaohs Mishandled Climate Disasters. Then the People Revolted. 1017.rtf

Climate Change Did Not Cause Syrian War 1017.rtf

How Climate Denial Threatens National Security 0717.rtf

Australia Warned It Radically Underestimated Climate Change Security Threat 0617.rtf

Climate Change Will Fuel Terrorism Recruitment 0417.rtf

Trump’s Defense Secretary Cites Climate Change as National Security Challenge 0317.rtf

When Climate Change Starts Wars 0217.rtf - Central Asia becomes a tinder box as water is scarcer.

Who's Still Fighting Climate Change? The U.S. Military 0217.rtf

How Climate Change in Central Asia Threatens to Spark Regional Conflict 0117.rtf

Military Leaders Urge Trump to See Climate as a Security Threat 1116.rtf

Military View - Climate Change Erodes Our National Security. We Should Prepare. 1016.rtf

Climate Change Is Already Destabilizing Communities Worldwide 0916.rtf

Military Experts Say Climate Change Poses 'Significant Risk' to Security 0916.rtf

Blame Global Warming for Your Bad Attitude 0916.rtf

Climate Change Increases the Risk of War 0716.rtf

What You Need to Know About the World's Water Wars 0716.rtf

Murders, Violence on Rise, as Parched Central India Battles for Water 0616.rtf

Preventing Tomorrow’s Climate Wars 0516.rtf - long analysis of US DOD plans in Africa, Pacific, East Asia & Arctic

Urban Population Growth and Demand for Food Could Spark Global Unrest 0416.rtf

Food System Shock - Climate Change's Greatest Threat to Civilization 0416.rtf

125-Year Mini Ice Age Linked to the Plague and Fall of Empires 0216.rtf

Climate Change and Conflict, a Perfect Storm 1115.rtf

Britain’s Prince Charles Links Syria War to Climate Change 1115.rtf

Conflict Makes Countries More Vulnerable to Climate Change 1115.rtf

How Climate Change Is Threatening Iraq’s Fragile Security 1015.rtf

How Climate Change Became a National Security Problem 1015.rtf - highlighted in Democratic Presidential primary debate

Forget about Saving Energy. This Is about Saving Lives. 0815.rtf

Defense Department to Congress - Global Warming Is a Security Threat Now 0715.rtf

Treat Climate Change as Seriously as National Security 0715.rtf - take 1 on study

Global Warming May Fuel Terrorism 0715.rtf - take 2, less detailed, more context

Drought, Expanding Deserts and ‘Food for Jihad' Drive Mali's Conflict 0415.rtf

Does Climate Change Really Cause Conflict? 0315.rtf

Seeds of War 0315.rtf

A Thirsty, Violent World 0215.rtf

The Pentagon & Climate Change - How Deniers Put National Security at Risk 0215.rtf

Climate Stresses Push Kashmir's Poor into Militancy, Pakistan Experts Warn 0115.rtf

How Climate Change Helped ISIS 1014.rtf

Retired Rear Admiral David Titley Talk Warns of Climate Change Conflicts 1114.rtf

Ground Water Depletion Driving Global Conflicts 1114.rtf

Climate Change a 'Threat Multiplier’ for Farming-Dependent Nations 1014.rtf

Climate Change Could Create More Boko Haram Extremists 1014.rtf

There’s a Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change and Violence 1014.rtf

Pentagon Signals Security Risks of Climate Change 1014.rtf

Sec Defense Hagel - Climate Change Will Challenge US Military 1014.rtf - Hagel introduces trhe report summarized above.

Poorest People Are Being Driven to Extremist Groups 0914.rtf

Is Climate Change (Drought) Destabilizing Iraq? 0914.rtf

5 Reasons NATO Needs to Worry about Climate Change 0914.rtf

Mideast Water Wars - in Iraq, a Battle for Control of Water 0814.rtf

How Climate Change, Declining Food Sources Lead to Piracy, Poverty, Strife 0714.rtf

4-Star Warning - Generals Dub Climate Change a Security Risk 0514.rtf

Does Unusual Weather Cause More Crime? 0414.rtf

Warming Can Lead to Warmer Tempers, Worsening Global Security - IPCC 0314.rtf

How Climate Change is Helping Al Qaeda 1213.rtf

As Arctic Ice Melts, U.S. Military Adapts Strategy, Forces 1113.rtf

Why Global Water Shortages Pose Threat of Terror and War 0214.rtf
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict - Hsiang 0913.pdf

Conflicts & Warming, Meta-Analysis of 60 Studies - Hsiang 0913.pdf

Climate Change May Increase Violence 0813.rtf

Climate Change Poses Grave Threat to Security 0613.rtf

Military - US Has Misguided Fixation with Domestic Drilling 0613.rtf

Could a Greener Military Prove More Powerful 0513.rtf

Water as Vital to National Security as Armies 0313.rtf

Top US Admiral Calls Climate Change Top Security Threat 0313.rtf

Climate Change and Rising Food Prices Heightened Arab Spring 0313.rtf

Climate Change Links to Conflict Draws UN Attention 0213.rtf

Climate Change Threatens National Security 1112.rtf

Climate Warming Drives Conflict over Food 1012.rtf - 16,000 armed conflicts in 9 East Aftrican countries, 1990-2009.

Climate Change Is Grave Threat to Security and Health 1011.rtf  - British military experts

Climate Cycles Linked to Wars 0810.rtf - El Niño doubles risk of civil wars across 90 tropical countries.

Climate Change Threatens World Peace 0711.rtf

CIA on Security Impacts of Climate Change 0111.rtf

Warming Can Bring Conflict to Arctic 1010.rtf

Military- Climate Change a Catalyst for Conflict 0710.rtf

DoD Seek More Explicit Climate Models & Risks 0610.rtf

Climate Change Impacts U.S. Security 1208.rtf

Warming = Less Food = More Wars 1109.rtf - Armed conflict in Africa 50% is more likely in unusually warm years.

Climate Change Threat to US 0809.rtf - War games, intelligence studies, National Defense University, etc.

Warming & Wars Update 1108.rtf - deputy director of national intelligence for analysis, etc.

US Climate Indifference Sparks Terrorism 0408.rtf

CIA+ Climate Change Threatens Security 0608.rtf - summary of National Intelligence Assessment, below

Warming and Wars 0407.rtf - summary of study below

National Security & Climate Change - CNA 0407.pdf - 68 pp

Pentagon - Abrupt Climate Change 1003.pdf - 22 pp.  Abrupt slowing of world thermohaline ocean circulation system brings abrupt temperature changes, causing food and water shortages, followed by resource wars.

Niger Desertification Forces Farmers into Armed Radical Groups 0613.rtf

Intelligence Assessment on Climate Change 0608.pdf - 21 pp

Age of Consequences 1107.pdf 124 pp