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2016-2024 Articles
Defense Budgets Need to Fight War and Climate Change 0625.rtfClimate Breakdown Is a Bigger Threat than China and Russia 0924.rtfNATO Report Outlines Growing Climate Risks to Global Security 0724.rtfClimate-Security Risks Are Too Hot to Handle for Australian Government 0524.rtfHeat Worsens Hunger in Yemen 1023.rtf - In the middle of a years-long civil war, it is very, very hot. By 2030, the Red Sea coastal city or Hodeida will have 152 days per year, nearly 5 full months, when conditions are so dangerous that spending a short amount of time outside — even in the shade — could threaten a person’s health.How Climate Change Drives Conflict and War Crimes around the Globe 1023.rtfThese Are the Places That Could Become ‘Unlivable’ as Earth Warms 1023.rtfUS Road Rage Boils Over as Country Sizzles 0723.rtfClick for more2016-2024 Articles
How Climate Change Inflames Extremist Insurgency in Africa 0723.rtfGuam Typhoon Highlights Threat to US Military’s Pacific Strategy 0523.rtfSpies Worry that a Sun-Blocking ‘Climate Solution’ Could Trigger War 0223.rtfWater Shortages Threaten to Increase Violence and Disappearances in Mexico 0223.rtfClimate Change is Fueling Conflict and Migration in Lake Chad 0123.rtfClimate Change Puts More Women at Risk for Domestic Violence 0123.rtfAlmost 8,000 US Shootings per Year Associated with Hot Weather 1222.rtfClimate Change Is Making People Angrier Online 0922.rtfHow Drought and War Are Really Affecting the Global Food Supply 0922.rtfFrom Africa, Climate Change Amplifies Risk of Conflict 0722.rtfFiji Says Asia’s Biggest Security Threat Is Climate Change, Not Conflict 0622.rtfClimate Action as Patriotism 0422.rtf - U.S.Encroaching Desert Intensifies Nigeria’s Farmer-Herder Crisis 0422.rtfClimate Clues from the Past Prompt a New Look at History 1221.rtf - more precise numbers than used in the charts under Conflict 2, below. Basically the same story, but by history researchers - working with natural scientists on climate from centuries ago.The U.S. Navy Has a Water Problem 0919.rtf - navy bases in Norfolk, etc., from sea level riseConflict and Climate Change Are Big Barriers for Africa’s Great Green Wall 1121.rtfSenior Pentagon Official Warns that US Military Is Not Ready for Climate Change 1121.rtf - damage from storms etc., logistics, mission change toward humanitarianWarmer World Is a More Violent One - Leaders to UN 0921.rtfMilitary Operations Will be Strained by Climate Change 0621.rtfThe Climate Crisis Is Driving Violent Conflicts over Farmland, Nigeria's Example 0521.rtfFacing Sweltering Soldiers and Flooded Ports, NATO to Focus on Climate Change 0321.rtfWhy the Pentagon Is Serious about Reducing Its Carbon Footprint 0321.rtfWater Hot Spot Chad Has a Volatile Mix of Climate Change, Pandemic, Violence 0820.rtfClimate Change Leads to More Violence against Women, Girls 0220.rtf - excerpt: "the specter of climate upheaval … is acting as an accelerant of global conflict, plunging nationalist powers into a regressive rivalry to seize scarce resources and deny access to putative outsiders of all descriptions.” …. "The ethno-nationalist backlash in most industrial Western powers has spurred the rise of an eco-fascist ideology."Arizona Military Base Will Be Hardest Hit by Climate Change 1119.rtfClimate Change Is Benefiting Terrorists In Somalia 1019.rtfClimate Change Could Cause U.S. Military Collapse, New Report Warns 1019.rtfClimate Change Is Poised to Alter the Face of Global Conflict 0919.rtfHow Terrorists Leverage Climate Change 0919.rtf - weaponized fire and waterCameroon Conflict Turns Climate-Stressed Farmers into ‘Food Beggars' 0719.rtfWill Climate Change Lead to More World Conflict? 0719.rtfClimate Change Compounds Hunger, Conflicts, German Aid Group Says 0619.rtfClimate Change Is Not Causing Wars – Yet 0619.rtfRunning Dry - Competing for Water on a Thirsty Planet 0619.rtfClimate Change Forcing Military to Reconsider Its Priorities 0519.rtfClimate Change Will Fuel More Wars and Displacement in the Middle East 0219.rtf - take 1 on Hague conferenceClimate Change an 'Imminent' Security Threat, Risk Experts Say 0219.rtf - take 2 on Hague conferenceClimate Change a Threat to World Order, Munich Security Conference Hears 0219.rtfPentagon Warns of Dire Risk to Bases, Troops From Climate Change 0119.rtfClimate Change Is Aggravating the Suffering in Yemen 1118.rtfDrought Puts Iraq at Risk of Jihadist Resurgence 0918.rtfClimate Kings 0718.rtf - descent to strongmen, as influx of refugees intensifiesPutting the Climate-Conflict Hypothesis to the Test 0618.rtf - The failure of political systems is the primary cause of conflict and displacement of large numbers of people. We also demonstrate that within socially and geopolitically fragile systems, climate change may potentially exacerbate the situation, particularly with regards to enforced migration.The Military Paid for a Study on Sea Level Rise. The Results Were Scary. 0418.rtf - Half is about effect on US military bases, especially Pacific Islands, but also Atlantic Coast bases.Climate Change Threatens National Security with Instability, Uncertainty, Chaos 0418.rtfMore Frequent Drought in Somalia Breeds Conflict over Fertile Land 0318.rtfDoes Climate Change Cause More War? 0218.rtf - "Are we looking at night only under the streetlight?” effectIran Protests Have a Long-Simmering Factor - Climate Change 0118.rtf7 Surprising Effects That Climate Change Will Throw Us 1117.rtf - #4 is we will turn more violent.Australia Faces Climate Disaster on Its Doorstep, White Paper Warns 1117.rtfClimate Change and Water Woes Drove ISIS Recruiting in Iraq 1117.rtfClimate Change – Catalyst for Conflict 1117.rtf - In Africa & Middle East, 10% of economic output, 20% in tropics, is lost to sinking agricultural and labor productivity.When Egypt’s Pharaohs Mishandled Climate Disasters. Then the People Revolted. 1017.rtfClimate Change Did Not Cause Syrian War 1017.rtfHow Climate Denial Threatens National Security 0717.rtfAustralia Warned It Radically Underestimated Climate Change Security Threat 0617.rtfClimate Change Will Fuel Terrorism Recruitment 0417.rtfTrump’s Defense Secretary Cites Climate Change as National Security Challenge 0317.rtfWhen Climate Change Starts Wars 0217.rtf - Central Asia becomes a tinder box as water is scarcer.Who's Still Fighting Climate Change? The U.S. Military 0217.rtfHow Climate Change in Central Asia Threatens to Spark Regional Conflict 0117.rtfMilitary Leaders Urge Trump to See Climate as a Security Threat 1116.rtfMilitary View - Climate Change Erodes Our National Security. We Should Prepare. 1016.rtfClimate Change Is Already Destabilizing Communities Worldwide 0916.rtfMilitary Experts Say Climate Change Poses 'Significant Risk' to Security 0916.rtfBlame Global Warming for Your Bad Attitude 0916.rtfClimate Change Increases the Risk of War 0716.rtfWhat You Need to Know About the World's Water Wars 0716.rtfMurders, Violence on Rise, as Parched Central India Battles for Water 0616.rtfPreventing Tomorrow’s Climate Wars 0516.rtf - long analysis of US DOD plans in Africa, Pacific, East Asia & ArcticUrban Population Growth and Demand for Food Could Spark Global Unrest 0416.rtfFood System Shock - Climate Change's Greatest Threat to Civilization 0416.rtf125-Year Mini Ice Age Linked to the Plague and Fall of Empires 0216.rtf
2015 Articles and earlier
2015 Articles and earlier
Climate Change and Conflict, a Perfect Storm 1115.rtfBritain’s Prince Charles Links Syria War to Climate Change 1115.rtfConflict Makes Countries More Vulnerable to Climate Change 1115.rtfHow Climate Change Is Threatening Iraq’s Fragile Security 1015.rtfHow Climate Change Became a National Security Problem 1015.rtf - highlighted in Democratic Presidential primary debateForget about Saving Energy. This Is about Saving Lives. 0815.rtfDefense Department to Congress - Global Warming Is a Security Threat Now 0715.rtfTreat Climate Change as Seriously as National Security 0715.rtf - take 1 on studyGlobal Warming May Fuel Terrorism 0715.rtf - take 2, less detailed, more contextDrought, Expanding Deserts and ‘Food for Jihad' Drive Mali's Conflict 0415.rtfDoes Climate Change Really Cause Conflict? 0315.rtfSeeds of War 0315.rtfA Thirsty, Violent World 0215.rtfThe Pentagon & Climate Change - How Deniers Put National Security at Risk 0215.rtfClimate Stresses Push Kashmir's Poor into Militancy, Pakistan Experts Warn 0115.rtfHow Climate Change Helped ISIS 1014.rtfRetired Rear Admiral David Titley Talk Warns of Climate Change Conflicts 1114.rtfGround Water Depletion Driving Global Conflicts 1114.rtfClimate Change a 'Threat Multiplier’ for Farming-Dependent Nations 1014.rtfClimate Change Could Create More Boko Haram Extremists 1014.rtfThere’s a Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change and Violence 1014.rtfPentagon Signals Security Risks of Climate Change 1014.rtfSec Defense Hagel - Climate Change Will Challenge US Military 1014.rtf - Hagel introduces trhe report summarized above.Poorest People Are Being Driven to Extremist Groups 0914.rtfIs Climate Change (Drought) Destabilizing Iraq? 0914.rtf5 Reasons NATO Needs to Worry about Climate Change 0914.rtfMideast Water Wars - in Iraq, a Battle for Control of Water 0814.rtfHow Climate Change, Declining Food Sources Lead to Piracy, Poverty, Strife 0714.rtf4-Star Warning - Generals Dub Climate Change a Security Risk 0514.rtfDoes Unusual Weather Cause More Crime? 0414.rtfWarming Can Lead to Warmer Tempers, Worsening Global Security - IPCC 0314.rtfHow Climate Change is Helping Al Qaeda 1213.rtfAs Arctic Ice Melts, U.S. Military Adapts Strategy, Forces 1113.rtfWhy Global Water Shortages Pose Threat of Terror and War 0214.rtfQuantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict - Hsiang 0913.pdfConflicts & Warming, Meta-Analysis of 60 Studies - Hsiang 0913.pdfClimate Change May Increase Violence 0813.rtfClimate Change Poses Grave Threat to Security 0613.rtfMilitary - US Has Misguided Fixation with Domestic Drilling 0613.rtfCould a Greener Military Prove More Powerful 0513.rtfWater as Vital to National Security as Armies 0313.rtfTop US Admiral Calls Climate Change Top Security Threat 0313.rtfClimate Change and Rising Food Prices Heightened Arab Spring 0313.rtfClimate Change Links to Conflict Draws UN Attention 0213.rtfClimate Change Threatens National Security 1112.rtfClimate Warming Drives Conflict over Food 1012.rtf - 16,000 armed conflicts in 9 East Aftrican countries, 1990-2009.Climate Change Is Grave Threat to Security and Health 1011.rtf - British military expertsClimate Cycles Linked to Wars 0810.rtf - El Niño doubles risk of civil wars across 90 tropical countries.Climate Change Threatens World Peace 0711.rtfCIA on Security Impacts of Climate Change 0111.rtfWarming Can Bring Conflict to Arctic 1010.rtfMilitary- Climate Change a Catalyst for Conflict 0710.rtfDoD Seek More Explicit Climate Models & Risks 0610.rtfClimate Change Impacts U.S. Security 1208.rtfWarming = Less Food = More Wars 1109.rtf - Armed conflict in Africa 50% is more likely in unusually warm years.Climate Change Threat to US 0809.rtf - War games, intelligence studies, National Defense University, etc.Warming & Wars Update 1108.rtf - deputy director of national intelligence for analysis, etc.US Climate Indifference Sparks Terrorism 0408.rtfCIA+ Climate Change Threatens Security 0608.rtf - summary of National Intelligence Assessment, belowWarming and Wars 0407.rtf - summary of study belowNational Security & Climate Change - CNA 0407.pdf - 68 ppPentagon - Abrupt Climate Change 1003.pdf - 22 pp. Abrupt slowing of world thermohaline ocean circulation system brings abrupt temperature changes, causing food and water shortages, followed by resource wars.Niger Desertification Forces Farmers into Armed Radical Groups 0613.rtfIntelligence Assessment on Climate Change 0608.pdf - 21 ppAge of Consequences 1107.pdf 124 pp
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict - Hsiang 0913.pdf - meta-analysis of 60 studies. Graphs below tell the story. Some come from studies further down the page, some from other studies. Below, SD = standard deviation.
Rainfall changes (mostly drying) are drivers in panels D, G, H & K below, temperature for the other 8.
Dotted lines come at 1,000 year intervals.
2,600 years of European history
China graph spans 2070 BC - 1450 AD. Titanium count is proxy for strength of winter monsoon winds & rain.
Section Map: Costs, Wars, Migrate +
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