Some other projections
Colors are for % change in precipitation.
Colors in Northeast below are for the number of droughts of each length.
For example, in the top left box, there are generally 5-25 droughts of 1-3 months duration, during the 30 years. In the top right box, there are no projected droughts of 6 months or more during the 30 years, in the base case.
Recent US Droughts Hit Top Cattle Counties Hardest 1225.rtf
Why It’s Been So Dry in the U.S. over October 2024 to April 2025 - 0425.rtfIt’s Not Normal for the East Coast to Be on Fire 1124.rtfWhy the U.S. Has Gotten So Dry, So Fast — and What Could Reverse It 1124.rtfIn a Parched US, Human-Triggered Wildfires Are Poised to Thrive 1124.rtfNearly All US States Face Droughts 1124.rtfThe Mississippi River Running Low Again Is Problem for Moving Beans and Grain 0924.rtfSaltwater Wedge Climbing the Mississippi River Threatens Drinking Water 0923.rtfAmerica’s Most Crucial Waterway Is Drying Out 0723.rtfDrought Hits the Midwest, Threatening Crops and the World’s Food Supply 0623.rtfThe Mississippi River and Its Tributaries Have Dropped to Record Lows 1022.rtfMighty Mississippi Is So Low, People Are Walking to Tower Rock Island 1022.rtf‘The worst we’ve seen’ - Ranchers Threatened by Historic Heat and Drought 1022.rtfThe Northeast Is in the Middle of an Intense Drought 0822.rtfNew England’s ‘Flash Drought’ Got Worse. Experts Worry It’s Just the Start. 0822.rtf‘Flash Droughts’ Are Midwest’s Next Big Climate Threat 0522.rtfFrom Drinking Water to Farms, Drought's Effect Creeping across Missouri 0718.rtfDeep South Drought Kills Crops, Threatens Herds 1116.rtfClimate Change Unleashes Interstate Water Wars 0520.rtf - Supreme Court cases: Tenn. vs Ala., Fla. vs. Georg., etc.US Droughts, Area Affected, in %, by Severity - Annual 1st, then weekly. Data is from U.S. Drought Monitor.
Means since 2000 were 49.7% dry, 32.0% drought, 18.7% severe, 7.8% extreme, 1.7% exceptional. Droughts stem from low rain and high temperature (evaporation).
Below, note Southeast US drought in 2007-8 (maps far below), North American drought in 2002-4 (farther below), and 2011-13 drought across much of the US. In 2007-8, Texas was wet and the Midwest was moister than usual. In 2002, due to the drought, North American plants absorbed 50% less CO2 than usual.
Global Warming Connected to California Drought, Winter's Polar Vortex 0414.rtf
Colorado River near ocean
A Shrinking Colorado River Faces Sharp, Sudden Cuts 0622.rtf
- Lake Mead shrinks 1.5 X as fast during 2021-22 as 2020-21
a slide from 2013. The hottest full year in US histiory remains 1954. [until a few years after 2013]
US Drought Worsens in November After Improving for Weeks 1112.rtf
Palmer Drought Index, November 2012
June 2012
July 2012
July 2011
August 2011
June 2007
August 2007
Section Map: Droughts, Deserts & Fires