US+
Intro
Some other projections
Colors are for % change in precipitation.
Colors in Northeast below are for the number of droughts of each length.
For example, in the top left box, there are generally 5-25 droughts of 1-3 months duration, during the 30 years. In the top right box, there are no projected droughts of 6 months or more during the 30 years, in the base case.
Droughts (Except West)
Articles
It’s Not Normal for the East Coast to Be on Fire 1124
Why the U.S. Has Gotten So Dry, So Fast — and What Could Reverse It 1124
Why Hydropower Is Failing This Nation — and Could Fail Others 1124
In a Parched US, Human-Triggered Wildfires Are Poised to Thrive 1124
Nearly All US States Face Droughts 1124
The Mississippi River Running Low Again Is Problem for Moving Beans and Grain 0924
Saltwater Wedge Climbing the Mississippi River Threatens Drinking Water 0923
America’s Most Crucial Waterway Is Drying Out 0723
Drought Hits the Midwest, Threatening Crops and the World’s Food Supply 0623
Mighty Mississippi Is So Low, People Are Walking to Tower Rock Island 1022
‘The worst we’ve seen’ - Ranchers Threatened by Historic Heat and Drought 1022
New England’s ‘Flash Drought’ Got Worse. Experts Worry It’s Just the Start. 0822
‘Flash Droughts’ Are Midwest’s Next Big Climate Threat 0522
Nearly 1/2 of the U.S. Is in Drought. It May Get Worse. 1020
Over 2000-10, Longest U.S. River Was Driest in 1,200 Years. It Will Happen Again. 0520
Climate Change Unleashes Interstate Water Wars 0520 - Supreme Court cases: Tenn. vs Ala., Fla. vs. Georg., etc.
Articles
From Drinking Water to Farms, Drought's Effect Creeping across Missouri 0718
Unprecedented Drought Is Crippling Montana and North Dakota 0917
Deep South Drought Kills Crops, Threatens Herds 1116
Corn Belt Could Have 'Flash Drought' This Summer 0616
Obama Tells Us What's to Come on Climate, Drought 0415
US 'at Risk of Mega-Drought Future’ 0215 - See excerpt on Overviews page.
North America’s 1934 Dust Bowl Drought Was Worst In 1,000 Years 1014
'Shocking' Underground Water Loss in US Drought 0714
Air Quality Gains Could Be Eroded by Drought, Climate Change 0414
What to Expect When You’re Expecting El Niño 0414
Buried in Muck, 800-1300 AD Droughts Gives Clues to Future NYC Drought 0813
US Droughts, Area Affected, in %, by Severity - Annual 1st, then weekly. Data is from U.S. Drought Monitor.
Means since 2000 were 49.7% dry, 32.0% drought, 18.7% severe, 7.8% extreme, 1.7% exceptional.
Droughts stem from low rain and high temperature.
Below, note Southeast US drought in 2007-8 (maps far below), North American drought in 2002-4 (farther below), and 2011-13 drought across much of the US. In 2007-8, Texas was wet and the Midwest was moister than usual. In 2002, due to the drought, North American plants absorbed 50% less CO2 than usual.
Droughts: Western US
Articles
Will the West’s Top Renewable Power Source, Water Power, Survive the Drought? 1022
As Rio Grande Shrinks, El Paso Plans for Uncertain Water Future 1022
Drifting Toward Disaster - the (2nd) Rio Grande 0922
Drought Threatens Coal Plant Operations - and Electricity - across the West 0822
The Vanishing Rio Grande – Warming Takes Its Toll 0622
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Yes, the US West’s Drought Really Is That Bad 0522
2 Wyoming Rivers under Restrictions due to Low Snowpack, Drought 0422
Drought in U.S. Is Expected to Persist, and Spread, Through the Spring 0322
The Drought in the Western U.S. Could Last until 2030 - 0222
Western Drought Is Worst in at Least 12 Centuries 0222
A Federal Drought Relief Program Left Southern Oregon Parched 1121
Lake Tahoe Water Level Hits 4-Year Low, amid Drought
Great Salt Lake’s Demise Spurs Water Emergency for Utah 1021
Fast-Shrinking Great Salt Lake Poses Rising Hazards 0721
Reservoirs Are Drying Up, as Consequences of the Western Drought Worsen 0721
American West Stuck in Cycle of ‘Heat, Drought and Fire’, Experts Warn 0721
Water Is Disappearing in the West -- Not Just during Summer (Snow Droughts) 0721
‘Mega-Drought’ along Border Strains US-Mexico Water Relations 0721
Running Out of Water - How Climate Change Fuels a Crisis in the US West 0721
Record-Shattering Heat Wave Bakes Western US, Raises Drought, Fire Concerns 0621
Mega-Heat Wave Peaking in West, Breaking Records, Intensifying Drought, Fires 0621
Rocky Mountain Forests Burning More Often Now than for at Least 2,000 Years 0621
‘Megadrought’ Persists in Western U.S., as Another Extremely Dry Year Develops 0521
Drought-Breaking Rains Have Grown Rarer, More Erratic in US West 0421
The Mega-Drought Parching 77% of the Western US, Explained 0321
Nearly Half the U.S. Is in Drought. Conditions Will Likely Grow Worse – NOAA 0321
Texas Ranchers, Activists, Local Officials Brace for Megadroughts 0720
US South-west in Grip of Historic ‘Megadrought' 0520
America’s Farmers, Reeling from Floods, Face a New Problem - No Water 0719
As New Mexico Reservoirs Hit Bottom, Worries Grow Over the Future 0918
Drought Creates a Perfect Storm for Wildfires in U.S. West 0718
Vanishing Rio Grande Puts Pressure on San Luis Valley Farmers during Extreme Drought 0618
Climate Change Is Darkening Seattle’s Water Forecast 0915
Washington Governor Declares Drought Emergency 0515
More Northwest Mountains Are Snow-Free Already, as Drought Deepens 0515
Wild Animals in Drought-Stricken Western States Are Dying for a Drink 0515
Pacific Winds Tied to Warming Slowdown, Dry West 0415
Dry, Warm Winter Leaves Western U.S. Snowpack at Record Low Levels 0415
Mighty Rio Grande Is Now a Trickle Under Siege 0415 The trickle fades and is reduced to zero in El Paso. The Conchos (upstram from Big Bend National Park), Salado, and San Juan tributaries from Mexico, downstream from El Paso, return small amounts to Rio Grande upstream from McAllen, restoring the Rio Grande to trickle status.
California
Articles
Atmospheric Rivers Won’t End California’s Drought 0123
California’s Snowpack, Aided by Atmospheric Rivers, Could Help Drought 0123
Nation’s Largest Water Supplier Declares Drought Emergency 1222
Worsening Drought Drives California Water Prices to All-Time High 0822
California Adopts Emergency Water-Use Rules as Drought Worsens 0522
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California Braces for Extreme Summer Drought after Dismal Wet Season 0522
California’s 2 Largest Reservoirs Are 'Critically Low' as Dry Season Starts 0522
Mega-Drought Threatens California Power Blackouts This Summer 0422
Parched Southern California Restricts Outdoor Watering, in Unprecedented Step 0422
California's Lean Snowpack Signals Deepening Drought Ahead 0322
California Records Driest January in 38 Years 0222
Record December Snow in West Brings Major Drought Relief, Hope for 2022 - 1221
California Water Districts to Get Unprecedented 0% of Requested Supplies 1221
As Drought Conditions Worsen, California Expands State of Emergency 1021
Lake Tahoe Water Level Hits 4-Year Low, amid Drought
As Drought Worsens, California Farmers Are Being Paid Not to Grow Crops 1021
California’s Thirst for Water May Accelerate Global Warming 0921 - the energy cost of pumping water, from underground, distant places, or the energy for desalination plants
Mendocino, California Tourist Town, Is Running Out of Water - ‘It’s a Shock’ 0821
‘Truly an Emergency’- How Drought Returned to California – and What Lies Ahead 0621
California's Dry Weather Is Bad News for Wildfires and Water Supply 0421
California Had Its Driest February on Record. Here’s How Bad It Was. 0320
February, Typically California Rainy Season’s Peak, Will Be Its Driest on Record 0220
California Declared Totally Drought-Free for 1st time in 7 Years 0319
Southern California's Water Year Has Been Nearly Bone Dry So Far 0118
About Half of California Now Out of Drought 0117
Greenhouse Gases Made West Coast Drought Worse 1116
Californians Stopped Saving So Much Water This Summer 1016
San Francisco Bay Ecosystem Collapsing, as Rivers Diverted 1016
Downtown L.A.'s 5-Year Rain Total Is Lowest Ever Recorded 0716
It Will Take Years of Wet Weather before California Recovers from Drought 0616
California Braces for Unending Drought 0516
El Niño Is Rapidly Filling California's Once-Dusty Reservoirs, Easing Drought 0316
Drought Is Still ‘Very Serious’ in California, despite Near Record Snow 0216
California Cut December Water Use 18.3%, Barely Meeting Gov. Brown’s Mandate 0216
What Happened to El Niño? Be Patient, L.A., It'll Come, Expert Says 0116
Epic, 500-Year Snow Fail in California’s Iconic Mountains 0915
Californians Cut Water Use by 31% in July 0815
Los Angeles Continues Dramatic Water Savings - 21% in July 0815
California Drought Could Be the New Normal 0815
Global Warming Has Made California’s Drought Worse 0815 - Warming increased evaporation, regardless of rain.
Drought Sets Up ‘Emergency Situation' for California's Trees 0815
Drought Has Cut California’s Hydro-Electricity Generation by 2/3 - 0715
Drought Devastates California Cherry Crop, Puts Some Growers Out of Business 0615
California Moves to Restrict Water Pumping by pre-1914 Rights Holders 0615
Drought Takes $2.7 Billion Toll on California Agriculture 0615
California’s Snowpack Is Now 0% of Normal 0515
Climate Change Could Overwhelm California, Obama Adviser Says 0515
California Water Officials Deliver Sobering Facts on Depleted Wells 0515
Drought Cuts Power Production from California Dams 0515
El Niño Strengthens. Hope for Serious Drought Relief? 0515
Drought Kills 12 Million Trees in California's National Forests 0515
Drought Making California's Air Quality Worse, American Lung Association Says 0415
California Desert Oasis Collides with Drought 0415
How Bad Is California Drought? - Soil Moisture? Rainfall? Runoff? Stored Water? 0415
Now, Every Day Is Fire Season in Drought-Era California 0415
For Drinking Water in Drought, California Looks Warily to Sea 0415
Beyond Almonds - A Rogue's Gallery of Guzzlers In California's Drought 0415
California Facing Extreme Heat Waves and Rising Seas 0415
Epic California Drought Is Preview of Future Global Warming Mega-Droughts 0415
California Facing Extreme Heat Waves and Rising Seas 0415 July 22, 2014
Epic California Drought Is Preview of Future Global Warming Mega-Droughts 0415
Gov. Brown Orders California's 1st Mandatory Water Restrictions 0415
California’s Terrifying Climate Forecast- Droughts Nearly Every Year 0315
California Suffers Dry January, Prolonging Devastating Drought 0215
Dry January Starts Familiar Feeling of Dread among Farm Water Leaders 0115
How the Massive Scale of California’s Drought Informs Climate Change Debate 0115
California Drought Fears Return with Signs of 4th Straight Dry Year 0115
California Drought Brings Smaller Harvests, More Hunger among Farmworkers 1214
California Drought - Storm Gives Bump to State Water Supplies 1214
American Drought - California’s Crisis 1214
Nature, Not Climate Change, Blamed for Drought 1214
California Drought the Worst in 1,200 Years 1214
Atmospheric River, Heavy Rain Roar Into California 1214
We’re Running Out of Water - California & Desalination 1114
Prediction - California Droughts Will Worsen 1114
A History of Megadrought in California 1014
Californians Make Big Cuts in Water Usage 1014
In Virtual Mega-Drought, California Avoids Defeat 1014
With Dry Taps and Toilets, California Drought Turns Desperate 1014
Another Drought Casualty - No Chance to Make Key Air Standard 0914
Megadrought Likely in Store for Southwestern US 0814
Drought Looms over California Race for U.S. House 0814
Drought Leaves California Homes Without Water 0814
If You Think California Water Crisis Can't Get Worse, Wait Until the Aquifers Are Drained 0814
West’s Historic Drought Stokes Fears of Water Crisis 0814
California Could Stay Dry Enough to Make Food Pricier 0814
California Drought Transforms Global Food Market 0814
In California, Record Heat Adding to Extreme Drought 0814
Why Heavy Rains Probably Won’t Do Much Good in Drought-Stricken California 0814
58% of California Hits Driest Level, for Record Drought 0714
Over 80% of California Reservoirs Are Less Than Half Full 0714
Why the California Drought Affects Everyone 0714
Groundwater Pumping Propping Up Farms in California Drought 0714
California Drought Expected to Cost State $2.2 Billion in Losses 0714
Downtown LA Is Now Driest Since Records Began in 1877 - 0714
100% of California Now in Highest Stages of Drought 0514
California Drought- El Niño Probability Now 78% for Next Winter 0514
Drought Covers 100% of California for 1st Time in 15 Years 0414
California's Water Wars Reach ‘New Level of Crazy' This Year 0414
For San Joaquin River Revival, Drought Becomes Way of Life 0414
California Drought- Central Valley Farmland on Its Last Legs 0314
In Drought, Water War in California Fought Underground 0913
San Luis Reservoir Only 17% Full, Causing Silicon Valley Water Problems 0813
How Dwindling Snow from Warming Can Dry Out Los Angeles 0613
Sequoias Show Most Drought & Fires at Medieval Optimum in 3K Yr 0310
Colorado River Basin
Articles
Phoenix Is Not Only Record Hot, 2023 Brings It Its Driest Start to Summer 0823
Since 2000, Colorado River Lost Enough Water, to Extra Heat, to Fill Lake Mead 0723
Lake Mead at 29% of Capacity, Lake Powell at 24% 1022
A Shrinking Colorado River Faces Sharp, Sudden Cuts 0622
California Braces for Extreme Summer Drought after Dismal Wet Season 0522
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West’s Megadrought Delivers Another Blow - Saving Glen Canyon Dam 0522
Record Low Water Levels Reveal Body in Barrel at Lake Mead 0522
Lake Powell Officials’ Stark Choice in West's Megadrought - Water or Electricity 0422
Lake Mead Hits Unprecedented Low, Exposing an Original Water Intake Valve 0422
Drought Is Sinking Lake Powell's Water Level. Its Total Capacity Is Shrinking Too. 0322
Drought Means 33% Chance Lake Powell Can’t Generate Hydropower in 2023 - 0921
US Projections on Drought-Hit Colorado River Grow Direr 0921
1st-Ever Water Cuts Declared for Colorado River in Historic Drought 0821
Lake Powell Hits Record Low Level, in Climate Change-Fueled Water Crisis0721
Severe Drought Threatens Hoover Dam Reservoir – and Water for the US West 0721
‘Mega-Drought’ along Border Strains US-Mexico Water Relations 0721
Against Expectations, Southwestern Summers Are Getting Even Drier 0621
The Shocking Numbers behind the Lake Mead Drought Crisis 0621
What Tree Rings Reveal about America’s Mega-Drought 0621
Lake Mead at Hoover Dam to Reach Lowest Water Level since It Filled in 1930s 0621
1st-Ever Colorado River Water Shortage Is Now Almost Certain 0521
US West Prepares for Possible 1st Water Shortage Declaration 0421
Heat and Drought Ravaged West with Last Year; Will 2021 Be Worse? 0221
Thirsty Future for American West, as Megadrought Grips Fastest-Growing Cities 0520
Southwest Drought Rivals Those of Centuries Ago, Thanks to Climate Change 0420
Mega-Droughts Are Likely Coming to the US Southwest Within Decades 0719
Amid 19-Year Drought, States Sign Deal to Conserve Colorado River Water 0319
Colorado River Is Drying Up for 40 Million Americans Who Depend on It 1218
'A Hot Drought' - Warming Is Driving Much of the Colorado River's Decline 0918
Water Wars Should Set Arizona’s Senate Race Alight 0818
Mountain Snowpack Shrinks to 66% of Normal, Feds Sound Drought Alarm 0418
Southwest U.S. May Have Entered a ‘Drier Climate State’ 0216
Lake Powell's Receding Waters Show Risk of U.S. ‘Megadrought' 0915
Shrinking Colorado River Increasingly Concerns Yuma Farmers, Millions of Water Users 0715
Drought Has Cut California’s Hydro-Electricity Generation by 2/3 - 0715
Colorado Begins $3.4 Million Effort to Save Agriculture Water, Make Power with It 0515
Western Drought Steals Clean Energy, Along with Fresh Water, at Power Plants 0415
Lake Mead On Track For Record Low Water Level Amid Drought 0415
California Isn’t the Only State with Water Problems 0415
Dry, Warm Winter Leaves Western U.S. Snowpack at Record Low Levels 0415
We’re Going to Be Out of Water- Navajo Nation Dying of Thirst 0415
Facing Down Southwest Drought - We're in It Together 0215
Megadrought Likely in Store for Southwestern US 0814
Water Woes Among Topics for 8 Governors in Vegas 1214
Long-Lasting California Drought Foreshadows Crisis for Rest of West 1114
Record Drought Reveals Stunning Changes Along Colorado River 1114
There’s an 80% Chance the Southwest Drought Could Last a Decade 0914
Megadrought Likely in Store for Southwestern US 0814
Swirls of Dust and Drama Punctuate Life in the Southwest 0814
Southwest Braces as Lake Mead Water Levels Drop 0814
Lake Mead Reservoir Drops to Record Low 0714
Drought - & Neighbors - Press Las Vegas to Conserve Water 0414
Colorado River Drought Forces a Painful Reckoning for States 0114
Climate Change Tough on Colorado Plateau 0413
Lakes Mead and Powell May Dry Up within Decades 0213
Mega-Drought in Southwest Is Bad Omen for Forests Globally 0613
A Shrinking Colorado River Faces Sharp, Sudden Cuts 0622 - Lake Mead shrinks 1.5 X as fast during 2021-22 as 2020-21
Texas
Articles
Texas Droughts Are Getting Much More Expensive 0624
Mega-Drought Forces End to Sugarcane Farming in Parched Texas Borderland 0424
Texas Drought Has Deepened amid This Year’s Brutal Heat 1023
Texas Ranchers, Activists, Local Officials Brace for Megadroughts 0720
Drought Returns to Texas, Just Months after Hurricane Harvey Floods State 0118
Parched Texas City Hopes to Cut Lake Evaporation 0814
Water Planners Focus on Bigger Texas, Not a Hotter One 0714
Rio Grande May Hit 40-Year Low 0414
With Texas Lakes Drying Up, Businesses Are Parched 0913
Amid Drought, a Water Fight Spills Into Legal Territory 0913
Other
Articles
Drought Is Bearing Fruit for Washington Wineries 0615
Record Drought Gives Oklahoma Wheat Farmers a Glimpse of the Future 0515
Study Confirms La Cienega NM Residents' Fear - Water Decline Threatens Area 0315
Washington State Rain Is No Cure for Drought, Due to Bleak Snowpack 0315
'Shocking' Underground Water Loss in US Drought 0714
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Drier than the Dust Bowl in Colorado 0714
Colorado Tumbleweeds Overrun Drought Areas 0414
For Southeast Colorado, a New Dust Bowl Is Blowing In 0414
Dust Bowl Worries Swirl Up, as Shelterbelt Buckles 0913
California Has Driest Year on Record - and It May Get Worse 0114
California Water Woes Hit Hard in Driest Year on Record 1113
Facing Drought, Wichita Falls Bans Outdoor Watering 1113
In Texas Drought, Abbott Keeps Lawn Green by Drilling 1113
With or Without $2 Billion, Water Woes Here to Stay 1113
Texas Authority Cuts Off Water to State's 2nd-Largest Estuary 0913
Turning Off the Spigot In Western Kansas Farmland 0813
Texas Tragedy - Ample Oil, No Water 0813
Climate Change's Heat Intensifies .
Drought, Flood Signal Iowa's Future 0613
West Texas Oil Field Town Runs Out of Water 0613
Fracking Fuels Water Fights in US Dry Areas 0613
American West Becoming Increasingly Dusty 0613
Latest Casualty of Drought May Be US Aquifers 0513
Wells Dry, Fertile Plains Turn to Dust 0513
US Crop Insurance Shields Farmers from Drought 0513
New Mexico Grapples with Tough Choices as Drought Persists 0513 below: his farm along the Nile was irrigated.
Drought Eases in Much of US, with Fields of Mud 0413
Getting Serious About a Texas-Sized Drought 0413
The Drought Is Drying Up All Our Ethanol 0413
Parts of Plains Face 3rd Year of Drought 0413
Nobody Is Declaring a State of Drought in California 0413
Scientists Forecast Another Bleak Drought Year for US 0413
US Drought Likely to Worsen in 2013 0313
Climate Change Threatens Shipping Routes 0313
US Drought Intensifies in Texas and Florida 0313
Thin Snowpack in West Signals Summer of Drought 0213
Drought Forecast to Persist in 2013 for Much of US 0213
Winter Rains Shy Away from Drought-Stricken Plains 0213
2 Great Lakes Hit Record Low Water 0213
Waiting For Dredging, Great Lakes Ports Close 0113
As Drought Persists, People Save Every Drop 0113
Drought Points Up Critical Role of Waterways 0113
Rains Aids Shippers on Mississippi River 0113
Texas Seeks Water in 2+ Year Drought 0113
Drought Disaster in Much of US Wheat Belt 0113
Little Sign of Drought Easing in US Midwest 0113
Climate Change to Cut Western Water Runoff by 10% 1212
Underwater Forest Reveals Story of a Historic Mega-Drought 1212
Water Deficit Worsening in the West 1212
GHGs Drive Drought in US West 0208
Cause of 2012 US Drought Remains Elusive 0413
10 Hardest Hit States for Crops 0213
Storms on Great Plains Stir Dust Bowl Memories 1212
Mississippi River Faces Shipping Freeze as Water Levels Drop 1212
Drought Threatens to Close Mississippi River to Barges 1112
Corps Cuts Flow on Missouri River 1112
Drought Forces Companies to Confront Water Use Questions 1112
Drought Halts Traffic on Low Mississippi River 0812
2012 US Drought to Become New Normal 0812
Drought Makes Over 50% of US Disaster Area 0812
Drought in Arkansas Impacts Rivers 0812 - PDF
Drought in 56% of US Threatens Corn Crop 0712
US Extreme Drought Area Grew by Size of Texas 0712
Drought Sends Mississippi River Near Record Lows 0712
Corn, Soybean Prices Shoot Up as Drought Worsens 0712
How the Drought Could Hit US Wallets 0712
US Drought Worst Since 1956 0712
Tough Times in Drought-Parched Texas for Rice Farms and Their Visiting Ducks 0813
In photo: Robert Lee, Texas 2011
Drought Puts Drain on Water Supplies for Power Plants 0213
Lake Michigan pier
a slide from 2013. The hottest full year in US histiory remains 1954.
US Drought Worsens in November After Improving for Weeks 1112
Palmer Drought Index, November 2012
June 2012
July 2012
2011 Articles and earlier
Coal Plants Face Battle from Drought 1111
1.5 Km-High Dust Cloud Hit Lubbock 1011
Drought Intensifies in Texas & Oklahoma 0911
US Weather Extremes May Be the New Normal 0811
Climate Change to Reduce US Southwest Water Supply 0411
Fierce Drought Wallops Southwest Farmers 0411
July 2011
August 2011
June 2007
August 2007
below: 2002, August (Other months are similar)
Section Map: Droughts, Deserts & Fires