Cooling: Solar Radiation Management
(Geo-Engineering)
The biggest form of geo-engineering is adding vast amounts of CO2 to the air.
That causes huge damages, most of them delayed,
The biggest form of geo-engineering is adding vast amounts of CO2 to the air.
That causes huge damages, most of them delayed,
The graph of energy intensity (density) radiated to space by Earth, on the vertical axis, correponds to frequency on the bottom and wavelength on the top. Less is radiated to space in the absorption bands of the principal greenhouse gases (GHGs). The principal atmospheric infrared window thru GHGs is 10 to 12 µm. 320 K, the top "curve", = 47°C = 117°F. 22°C MODTRAN Model with Tropical setting = 295 K = 72°F.
The figures below show the increase in absrobed solar radiation over time and space. The left graphs shows that, over 20 years, Earth has absorbed more solar radiation - it has been getting darker (less reflective) - over the 3 major ocean basins. Especially over the North Pacififc and North Atlantic.
Changes over land are not shown.
Dr. Fry's summary of leading SRM methods.
An HPAC member's take on relative effectiveness of 9 methods to cool the planet (atmosphere mostly). Marine Cloud Brightening is rated top, followed by atmospheric methane oxidation.
In most locations, the modeled impact of solar geo-engineering (stratospheric aerosol injection in particular) is to reduce mortality, compared to doing nothing to cool Earth off.
Below, as above, SAI = Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (what major volcanic eruptions do) and MCB = Marine Cloud Brightening. CH4 is Methane, the leading Well Mixed Greenhouse Gas besides CO2.
UK scientists are launching outdoor geo-engineering experiments as part of a £50 million government-funded program run by Advanced Research and Invention Agency (Aria).
In May, Cambridge hosted the Arctic Repair Conference 2025, a pioneering conference hosted by the Center for Climate Repair, in association with the University of the Arctic. Its focus on innovative climate engineering techniques was designed to combat the rapid changes taking place in the Arctic. The podcaster Nate Hagens asked “Will we artificially cool the planet?” The science and politics of geo-engineering, and scientists published a call for more climate intervention research.
Co-Ordinated Solar Geo-Engineering Can Lower Temperature Cheaply, Save Lives 1125.rtfGlobal Cooling Startup Raises $60 Million to Test Sun-Reflecting Technology 1025.rtfA Responsible Way to Cool the Planet 0925.rtf - by David Keith, a pioneer of CO2 removal AND stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). Trees Alone Won’t Save Us – They Have Less Potential to Fix Climate than Hoped. 0925.rtf - Trees are darker than other vegetation.Scientists Warn against Plans to Artificially Cool Polar Regions 0925.rtf - The scientists said media interest in the proposals far outstrips their practicality and distracts from the need to invest in adaptation and decarbonization, which they say could reverse warming trends in a matter of decades. [In this, they are mistaken. Equilibrium warming for current CO2 levels is some 5°C above 1880 baseline. Decarbonization alone will not reverse warming trends nearly that soon, or keep a livable climate.]Cooling Isn’t Plan B – It’s How Plan A Succeeds 0825.rtf - how cooling supports stopping emissions and removing the CO2 we have already put in the airGeo-Engineering- a Bad Idea Whose Time Has Come? 0825.rtfMan-Made Clouds That Could Help Save the Great Barrier Reef 0725.rtfUnexpected Failure of Regional Marine Cloud Brightening in a Warmer World 0625.rtfComparing the Benefits and Risks of Solar Geo-Engineering - Keith & Harding 0625.rtf - Injecting sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere reduces mortality risk from heat, but increases risks from air pollution and ozone loss. The reduction in mortality by doing cooling—a benefit—is roughly 10 times larger than the increase in mortality from air pollution and ozone loss. The paper builds on recent work by Greenstone and Eastham, in collaboration with Vecchi and Yang. From another perspective, the benefit is 40 times the harm.UK Funds 5 Geo-Engineering Trials to Combat Global Warming 0625.rtfArctic Winter High-Latitude Seasonal Stratospheric Aerosol Injection 0525.rtfNew Technologies Are Helping to Re-grow Arctic Sea Ice 0425.rtf - Similar to diagram above, water from below sea ice would be added to the top of sea ice. A company is now working to do this, in situ on the Arctic Ocean,Impact of Solar Geoengineering on Temperature-Attributable Mortality 1224.rtf - with Dvid Keith as 3rd author. Mean outcome of simulations of mortality from climate change, with and without stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). The study, in the case of +2.5° C warming and 1.0° C of SAI cooling, finds that mortality is 13 x as great without SAI as with it. However, the error bounds are large. More research and preparation is needed. [The background is that loss of reflectivity (darkening, a.k.a. loss of albedo) contributed more than twice as much warming as greenhouse gases over 2000-2024. Most of the darkening was due to cloud cover loss over the oceans (from 60% to 53% over the oceans over 1984-2019).]Solar Geo-Engineering Could Save Up to 400,000 Lives per Year 1224.rtf - one take on the above study.Plan to Refreeze the Arctic Sea Ice Is Seeing Promising Results 1224.rtfGlobal Warming Is Speeding Up. Another Reason to Consider Geo-Engineering 1224.rtf“EU Should Ban Space Mirrors and Other Solar Geoengineering” 1224.rtfThwaites Glacier Melting Faster than Expected. Use Giant Submarine Curtains? 1124.rtf - Preventing more land ice melt will prevent a bit of Earth darkening (albedo loss), which can slow warming. It might give a little breathing room to stop putting carbon in the air and remove what we have already put in.Silicon Valley’s Elite Pour Money Into Blotting Out the Sun 1024.rtfDiamond Dust in Stratosphere Could Cool Earth Better than Other Substances 1024.rtfNow May Be the Time to Experiment with Mother Nature - Carefully! 0824.rtfCloud Brightening over Oceans may Stave Off Climate Change, but with Risk 0824.rtfThe Mirror Roofs Cooling Homes in Freetown, Sierra Leone 0824.rtfWhy Spraying Sulfur into the Sky is Not Crazy 0624.rtfClick for moreEarth is getting darker, which makes it absorb more heat, and thus warm up. Warming is not just from greenhouse gases. However, the changing albedo was initiated by adding greenhouse gases, which were the trigger.
At right, observe that the dark forest (mesic savanna) reflects less sunlight than the semi-arid savanna or the aird savanna. The more arid conditions will have a net cooling effect, other things equal.
2 methods reviewed: stratospheric aerosol injection and marine cloud brightening
The figure shows 4 types of SRM and 5 types of CO2 removal. Some methods are not shown, especially for CO2 removal, notably organic farming for soils. Also CH4 removal, notably by iron salt aerosols.
SRM shown includes mirrors, aerosols, reflective crops, and cloud seeding.
CO2 removal shown includes foresting, artificial trees, biochar, ocean iron fertilization, and carbonate addition. Accelerated rock weathering, a major method, is not shown, nor is use of ocean biology.
Add to the diagram storing carbon in soils, via (1) rapid (~1 week / small pasture) rotation grazing, (2) no-till farming, especially organic farming, and (3) biochar.
LIke foresting, these requires large land areas, but they (especially grazing) work much better in dry areas, which will grow some grass but few or no trees. Like foresting, these are already being used, at negligible cost. Moreover, soils generally store more carbon per acre than standing biomass (e.g., forests), especially toward the poles. (But near the equator, standing biomass stores much more than the soil there, except in peatlands.)
Section Map: Reversing Climate Change